Quantifying, in June 2024,Humankind Survival Probability in the Context of AI
Quantifying, in June 2024,Humankind Survival Probability in the Context of AI, by D. Conterno (2024) Quantifying the probability of humankind's survival over the next 20 years, using Artificial Intelligence (AI), requires an assessment of various factors, including geopolitical risks, technological advancements, environmental challenges, and societal dynamics. Incorporating the advent of AI into this equation adds another layer of complexity, as AI can be both a significant risk and a powerful tool for mitigation. The following analysis was created using a standard AI engine and working on specific aspects of the challenges we are facing in June 2024. Quantifying Geopolitical Risks Likelihood of Major Conflicts : Historical data and current trends suggest a low-to-moderate probability of large-scale wars, given the deterrent effect of nuclear weapons and international diplomatic efforts. Estimated risk of a major conflict: 15-25%. Nuclear Proliferation